Earth Elects
Interactive electoral projection models and other stuff
Upcoming and ongoing election models
Israel
Knesset Election, 27 October 2026. The count is under way: live results as the CEC reports them, the exit polls, the pre-election poll average and a coalition builder.
Bulgaria
Presidential Election, runoff 1 November 2026. Round-1 results, the runoff projection and live results.
United States
Midterm Elections, 3 November 2026. House and Senate cartograms, race polls, a candidate compass and factions.
New Zealand
General Election, 7 November 2026. Electorates, the MMP seat count and coalition maths.
Victoria
State Election, 28 November 2026. Assembly and Council seats from the current polls, the pendulum and preference flows.
Spain
General Election, 29 November 2026. All 350 Congress seats on a hex cartogram, the 52 provinces and a coalition builder.
Later elections
Taiwan
General Election, January 2028. The presidential race by county with a hypothetical runoff, and all 113 Legislative Yuan seats with a coalition builder.
Australia
Next Federal Election, due by 2028. House and Senate seats from the current polls, plus a swing lab.
Netherlands
Next General Election, due by May 2030. All 150 House seats from the poll average, the House as it stands, a coalition builder and three compasses.
Previous models
Latvia
Saeima Election, 3 October 2026. Constituencies, results and the parties' story since 2022.
Quebec
General Election, 5 October 2026. Ridings, results and the parties' story since 2022.
British Columbia
General Election, 24 October 2026. Ridings, results, the Legislature and two years of party turmoil.
Brazil
Presidential runoff, 25 October 2026: Lula re-elected, 51.79% to 48.21%. The final count by state, the model and the 4 October Chamber and Senate results.
Serbia
Parliamentary Election, 25 October 2026: the Student List wins a majority, 140 of 250 seats on RIK's preliminary count. Live results, the seat model and a coalition builder.
Electoral reform
Miscellaneous
Compass quiz
Answer the questions and see which parties you're closest to.
Brazil's voting extension
The runoff's two extra hours, re-run: 2018 and 2022 turnout in every state, and extra votes where stations shut at 17:00.
Commonwealth Anglosphere
The UK, Canada, Australia and New Zealand in one 250-seat parliament: six factions, no threshold, from current polls.